President Joe Biden decisions on Ukraine should include the assumptions that China will be assisting Russia to win that war. Anything less would amount to not only shortsightedness, but also a looming gargantuan disaster for the European continent. So, if Ukraine believes advanced F-16 fighter jets would help neutralize Chinese participation, the United States should be training their pilots today.
There are very credible predictions that it won’t be long before China whets its feet in Ukraine by selling the Russians any weapons necessary to win their war. Regardless of how narrow our views of the war today, the prevailing logic dictates that China, in its strategic position, cannot afford to let the United States and Europe win in Ukraine. A win for the U.S. is also automatically a loss for China.
If conventional wisdom dictates that China cannot afford to see Russia lose, then it behooves us to let China know we won’t tolerate any interference.
HOW TO RESPOND TO CHINA
The question is: How will the U.S. and Europe respond to China entering the war directly? Smarter analysts have written about the many options the United States has developed to contain that tiger, but they may all be related to China invading Taiwan and not China entering a war against Europe.
What are the U.S. options if China ventures outside its sphere of influence in Asia to weaken Europe by entering the war in Ukraine on the side of Russia? Has the Biden Administration drawn these options for a response? This is what Americans want to know. What are we going to do about China stepping out of Asia. Unless, of course, the talking points and the rhetoric the media is disseminating are a warning shot across the bow just in case China is considering leaving its designated lanes when it comes to international laws.
If conventional wisdom dictates that China cannot afford to see Russia lose, then it behooves us to let China know, in the strongest ways using back diplomatic channels, that we won’t tolerate any interference.
Chinese interference also depends on Putin’s ability to turn the tide around, which, so far, seems implausible. Russia is stuck fighting a war against the West it would be unwilling to lose. What will break first? Our will to support Ukraine, or Russia waiting out the West? This is the question that Both France and Germany are trying to answer by proposing a diplomatic settlement.
This is why Biden’s decisions on Ukraine should forge ahead to tame the appeasers willing to accept Vladimir Putin surviving this war.
FRANCE AND GERMANY HAVE A PEACE PLAN
Within the hierarchical security circles of France and Germany, there is a new concept taking shape, which essentially says that Russia has been contained, and therefore, instead of pursuing a defeat to unseat Vladimir Putin, the West should consider a diplomatic solution to pull Ukraine out of the war. If containment is the goal, that is.
What diplomats in both countries are not taking into account is that the survival of Putin will never end his willingness to wage war again. Next time, the Russian army would be far more prepared and far more lethal. Only the defeat of Russia by submitting to a Japanese/German-style WWII disarmament treaty can assure the world community that Putin’s reign of terror, or his ilk, will never re-kindle wars and atrocities across Europe ever again.
The French-German peace initiative is not only ill-advised, but it lacks the vision for a long-term guaranteed peace on the continent. And although the pressure is rising at home in both countries demanding an end to the war, President Macron and Chancellor Scholz must take into account Putin surviving to commit more war crimes again in the future.
This is why Biden’s decisions on Ukraine should forge ahead to tame the appeasers willing to accept Vladimir Putin surviving this war. This is not the time to ease up on the pedal.
Ukraine must be the last war Putin will ever wage.